An Analytical Model for Critical Asset Protection against Unmanned Aerial Vehicles
Aleksey Boyko1, Khalil Maihoub1
1Zhukovsky and Gagarin Military Aviation Academy (Voronezh).
DOI 10.24412/2410-9916-2026-3-035-050
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XML JATSAbstract
Problem Statement. The article continues a series of papers devoted to modeling modern combat. Previously, the authors proposed an analytical model of a combat episode that represents, in the form of a system of algebraic and logical relationships, the processes of mutual influence of fire engagement, reconnaissance, situation simulation, electronic warfare, communications, and control within the combat cycles of the opposing sides. One area of its application is the protection of critical assets against unmanned aerial vehicles. Existing analytical models of this process do not capture the mutual influence of electronic warfare and fire engagement, whereas the use of simulation models in critical asset protection systems that implement an adaptive "perception–prediction–optimization–recommendation" cycle may lead to excessive computational resource consumption when solving target allocation optimization problems in the dynamics of conflict. For this application area, it is advisable to modify the combat episode model by adapting the input data set and taking into account the required protection criterion for the critical asset. Aim of the paper: to improve the adequacy of modeling the protection of a critical asset against unmanned aerial vehicles through the application of a modified analytical model of a combat episode. Used Methods: probability theory, algebraic and logical expressions, combinatorics, choice theory. The novelty lies in the reproduction, within a single analytical model, of the mutual influence of the probabilistic and temporal characteristics of fire engagement, reconnaissance, situation simulation, electronic warfare, communications, and control in the combat cycles of the critical asset protection system and the attacking unmanned aerial vehicles. Result: the model enabled a quantitative assessment of the effect of the combined use of air defense and electronic warfare in protecting critical assets against unmanned aerial vehicles. Based on the model, methods have been developed for assessing the protection of a critical asset against unmanned aerial vehicles and for parametric synthesis of the corresponding protection system. Practical relevance: applicability in the design and operation of protection systems for critical facilities against unmanned aerial systems.
Key words
analytical combat model, unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV), critical asset, combat cycle, fire engagement, electronic warfare.
Reference for citation
Boyko A. A., Maihoub H. I. An Analytical Model for Critical Asset Protection against Unmanned Aerial Vehicles. Systems of Control, Communication and Security, 2026, no. 3, pp. 35-50. DOI: 10.24412/2410-9916-2026-3-035-050 (in Russian).
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